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There is hard data showing they extended several thousand lives.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/health/988-hotline-linked-to-th...

The important thing to remember is the variability of the human condition, stuff that would fall 90% of the time can still move the numbers.


Many products are shipped half way across the US on semi trucks, that hits everyone’s pockets even if you drive an EV.

Train’s move around vast amounts of freight but they got optimized for coat per ton for coal, wheat, etc not latency. Which then plays havoc if you try and do just in time manufacturing etc using them. Airfare and thus airfreight is simply dominated by fuel costs which hits many industries in ways that are less obvious but still expensive.


I live in a major shipping center in a state with a lot of agriculture.

I think that's why my grocery prices haven't gone nuts. For instance, I buy whole chickens (local-grown, free-range) for 99c/lb regularly.

Looking at my receipts, I spend a few hundred/week at this $KROGER. And that includes buying alcohol and non-food items like charcoal, cat litter, diapers, cleaning supplies.


I think it’s less shocking because we’ve seen several years of increased inflation. I’m frankly used to prices being noticeably higher every year where the COVID spike was being compared to 2000-2020. So sure Trump’s been consistently bad for the economy over both his terms, but wow it just doesn’t hit as hard as a pandemic.

LLM’s can still only pass limited Touring Tests. The longer the interaction the worse they do. Which of course means you can easily create an experiment they successfully pass, but just as easily you can create an experiment where they fail.

CAPTCHAs are nearly useless because of how little you need to pay humans to solve them.


A more interesting question is whether there is a Turing test that is easy for ALL humans to pass, while still being hard for LLMs.

In practice, most of the major CAPTCHA vendors already rely on non-privacy-preserving tests for those needing more accessible solutions than a visual puzzle.

Google's audio captcha (only available in a few languages and unusable for those who also have hearing issues) only works for a narrow band of users, not trusted enough to bypass the captcha entirely, but also not untrusted enough. If you fall outside of that band, you get a nice "your device has been classified as a fraud risk, please use the visual captcha" message.

hCaptcha goes even further and straight-up requires you to have an "accessibility cookie", which requires verifying your email address (and apparently your phone number in some cases) to obtain, as well as disabling some anti-tracking settings in your browser.


I've seen one recently where it's basically a series of animated objects and you're asked to click on the slowest one. It's surprisingly easy as a human, but anything that depends on a single screenshot of the page isn't able to solve it.

Obviously, that's only solveable by sighted humans, not ones that are blind or have otherwise low vision.


> That takes 10 minutes

Verifying LLM output needs to occur every time LLM output is generated, so no it doesn’t just take 10 minutes.

It takes 10 minutes + time to change the LLM input + 10 minutes to verify it worked * ~the number of times the code is generated.

Which is why vibe coding is so common, if you actually care about quality LLM’s are a near endless time sink.


Flowery language is a powerful tool, but it demands more from both the reader and writer.

That’s the fundamental flaw in using simple heuristics to evaluate language, the exact same text can be useful or deeply flawed just based on the context. You need to make sacrifices the wider the intended audience.


The issue is using a single factor to push change does not mean that change is a net good. Nobody talks about windmills killing birds because that’s what they actually care about, instead there are so few downsides they needed to find something no matter how meaningless in context.

As such single issues are often a fake justification for what they want to happen for other reasons.


Not bankrupt doesn’t mean the company is actually worth anything. A large number of tiny business are still in operation because the owner is willing to work at below market rates to keep it operating.

No. The law allows passengers in self driving Taxi not to be responsible. Including Taxi operated by Tesla.

Here Tesla makes it clear to people who turn on “Full self driving” the driver must maintain supervision and thus responsibility. As such it’s Tesla’s choice that they aren’t selling self driving cars.

It wouldn’t be such a big deal if some random engineer said they’d eventually do X, but when it’s the CEO repeatedly saying the same across many public appearances that’s as binding as a Super Bowl advertisement.


That may have been a knock on religion rather than a pedo issue.

However, school systems also try and avoid teachers and kids being alone together. A pedo in a room of 30 kids isn’t likely to do anything.


No, climate is based on consistent weather data over a long period. Across long enough periods the underlying assumptions that make climate a meaningful thing to talk about fail due to orbital mechanics etc.

Plate tectonics for example shows you can’t even assume an area’s latitude is consistent, just look at the fossil history of Antarctica. Humans have dumped so much carbon and methane in the atmosphere even 100 years ago was quite different.


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