I don't get that impression at all. LLMs would have avoided the stylistic repetition of "live". Asking an LLM to reformulate the sentences you quoted yields this slop:
> There are a lot of people who go through life by vibing. And honestly: that’s not automatically “bad.” Sometimes it’s even the only workable way to get through things. The issue is that “vibe-first” people tend to have a pretty loose relationship with truth, rigor, and being pinned down by specifics. They’ll confidently move forward on what sounds right instead of what they can verify.
I'll finish this post with a sentence containing an em-dash -- just to confuse people -- and by remarking on how sad I find it that people latch onto dashes and complete sentences as the signifiers of LLM use, instead of the inconsistent logic and general sloppiness that's the actual problem.
Cost can't be the true reason. In a planned economy, the customer base doesn't matter. If the state wants to allocate X number of engineers to do Y, it simply does, at the expense of whatever other project is considered politically less important.
The fact that the customers' demands have no influence on resource allocation, except to the extent that bureaucrats decide it's politically convenient to address them, is in fact precisely why life under communism is so shitty.
It may not have been the only reason, but cost was absolutely a major real reason. In a planned economy, cost does not disappear. Skilled engineers, specialized materials and equipment are all still scarce. Semiconductors are literally the most sophisticated manufactured products and require the most complex supply chains. The Soviet Union was notoriously bad at coordination between ministries, state agencies, design bureaus, and factories. Semiconductors are probably the single worst industry for the Soviet model.
Maybe in theory, they could have lobbed enough bodies at the problem to make it go away. But they simply did not have the resources.
Of course in any economy, there are scarce resources, and skilled labor is certainly one of them. What I'm specifically arguing against is the assertion that in a planned economy, the existence or lack of a customer base would in any real way impact the allocation of those resources. That's not a helpful way to analyze the decisions of the communist planning committee.
But a complex system requires Z engineers to design subsystem 1, and repeat 100x.
And engineers for sub-subsystems.
And specialists for allocating resources reliably.
And mass shipping systems for transporting those resources efficiently (remember, this is a country that STILL doesn't have palletized supply chains!).
Unlike defeating the Third Reich, it is not a problem that can be solved by merely throwing more bodies at it.
I don't disagree with that, but that's not what was discussed. The person I was replying to was asserting that the Soviet union couldn't have developed semiconductors because unlike the US, it didn't have "a vast civilian customer base that let it recoup R&D expenses". My argument is that "recouping" anything doesn't matter in a planned economy.
Nothing recent made me feel quite as old and out of the loop more as the slowness with which I realized that this is about x.com (Twitter), not x.org (the windowing system).
After reading about Wayland for 10 (?) years and thinking it was some huge deal, I finally took the leap as I was redoing my window manager anyway and it was quite easy (at least on NixOS). Heck virt-viewer (one of my main apps) is still running under Xwayland because the performance seems better.
Oh for sure. The point is the way I hear it talked about even today is as if it's going to be really great at some point in the future, but involves a lot of off-the-beaten-path tinkering if you want to use it right now. But there really wasn't much tinkering!
Honestly with "AI" helping a lot of the boring configuration tedium, I feel like I might finally reach the stage where I like my desktop environment config.
The only reason why I'm not running Wayland on my Framework laptop is that there's some really weird bug where it hardlocks the system, and after I force-reboot it, the audio chip doesn't come back up unless I drain or unplug the battery. X11 doesn't have this issue.
Of course, this was also several years ago, and it's possible the bug has been fixed. Maybe I should try Wayland again.
knowing how xorg currently operates (it doesn't, it has a successor) it'd be a wayland protocol negotiated over dbus and mainly opposed by the GNOME people
I get really really tired at the back and forth with Wayland and all that, but I would put up with reading rants about windowing systems everyday if it meant I never had to think about this X again.
> My solution was to kexec into a new kernel+initramfs which has a DHCP client and cURL in it - that effectively stops any filesystem access while the image is being written over the disk, then to just reboot.
I know the argument I'm going to make is not original, but with every passing week, it's becoming more obvious that if the productivity claims were even half true, those "1000x" LLM shamans would have toppled the economy by now. Were are the slop-coded billion dollar IPOs? We should have one every other week.
They’re busy writing applications for their dogs and building “jerk me off” functionality into their OpenClaw fork. Once they’re done you’ll be sorry you ever asked.
Last time I read about a Codex update, I think it mentioned that a million developers tried the tool.
Don't most companies use AI in software development today?
And yes, I know that some companies are not doing that because of privacy and reliability concerns or whatever. With many of them it's a bit of a funny argument considering even large banks managed to adopt agentic AI tools. Short of government and military kind of stuff, everybody can use it today.
On a serious note it would be great to run an experiment - get 20 people on here claiming 100x productivity, and let’s see what they muster up in 1 month working together.
Writing pieces of code that beat average human level is solved. Organizing that code is on its way to being solved (posts like this hint at it). Finding problems that people will pay money to have solved by software is a different entirely more complicated matter (tbh I doubt anyone could prove right now that this absolutely is or isn’t solvable - but given the change we’ve seen already I place no bets against AI).
Also even if agents could do everything the societal obstacles to change are extensive (sometimes for very good, sometimes for bad reasons) so I’m expecting it to take another year or two serious change to occur.
> Also, lines of code is not completely meaningless metric.
Comparing lines of code can be meaningful, mostly if you can keep a lot of other things constant, like coding style, developer experience, domain, tech stack. There are many style differences between LLM and human generated code, so that I expect 1000 lines of LLM code do a lot less than 1000 lines of human code, even in the exact same codebase.
I'm confused. The linked paper is not primarily a mathematics paper, and to the extent that it is, proves nothing remotely like the question that was asked.
> proves nothing remotely like the question that was asked
I am not an expert, but by my understanding, the paper prooves that a computationally bounded "observer" may fail to extract all the structure present in the model in one computation. aka you can't always one-shot perfect code.
However, arrange many pipelines of roles "observers" may gradually get you there
I don't have a reference, but I remember reading that some Samsung TVs require internet access to get past initial setup and allow access to HDMI. So we might already be here..
It's likely that "knows" has no separate definition, but is used in some definition of "operator". If so, then "operator" should probably connect to "know", and "knows" shouldn't appear in the graph at all. But calling that edge case "broken" is a bit harsh, I think.
> There are a lot of people who go through life by vibing. And honestly: that’s not automatically “bad.” Sometimes it’s even the only workable way to get through things. The issue is that “vibe-first” people tend to have a pretty loose relationship with truth, rigor, and being pinned down by specifics. They’ll confidently move forward on what sounds right instead of what they can verify.
I'll finish this post with a sentence containing an em-dash -- just to confuse people -- and by remarking on how sad I find it that people latch onto dashes and complete sentences as the signifiers of LLM use, instead of the inconsistent logic and general sloppiness that's the actual problem.
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