What you care more about?

technical details or real-world outcomes?

>big government and a fancy stock manipulation scheme.

What's wrong with US gov caring about supply chain and manufacturing capability of the most needed technology right there - on American soil?

It is in US' interest to be able to produce such complex tech locally

Yes, it's called industrial policy and it can work very well.

Yes and it can also reduce competitive forces which were driving Intel to innovate. The goal of a robust supply chain is not aligned with the goal of technical supremacy. Sure, the US did achieve technical supremacy in the past with government intervention and assistance, but the world was much different then. Now the US has to compete with East Asian innovation.

Asian innovation often is the result of industrial policy to get started. Once it gets going, the state can and should let go and let market forces work.

I don't think that the basic situation has changed in that regard. China is currently trying hard to catch up in semiconductor manufacturing and AI. It seems to be working somewhat for AI (Qwen), we need to wait and see about semi manufacturing. A curious and long-term failure so far is civil aviation.

Samsung has a Texas fab(and AAPL is in discussions with them alongside INTC).

Counter point: Apple exists in their size because of the US’s willingness to keep shipping lanes and trade routes open by use of force and US diplomatic efforts to allow for trade to exist in foreign nations. It’s debatable if this still holds true or is the correct approach given the shitshow going on right now.

It's also a major concern to have a supply chain that can be protected from foreign manipulation.

A compromised supply chain is a huge intelligence/national security risk, not just for military platforms but everything from government and commercial datacenters to personal devices used by both public and private sector individuals.

Chrome is equivalent of operating system, meanwhile Finder? :D

One hour in sauna? :O

A random time I pulled out of my head. If this is real the next question is what is the optimal time. (also temperature and humidity levels)

wut? Intel with 18A can do it

Its low yields and tiny volumes are part of what gets the US from “no capacity” to “almost no capacity.”

yields are constantly improving on monthly basis, according to executives around 7% per month, so the capability is definitely there, but yields still needs some time

>And a small observation: if you require money to do something, you usually have no chance of being as good as the folks that do it for the pleasure.

Usually complex things are there, where they money is - semiconductor industry, big corpos (chromium, linux, llvm, etc), AI, etc.

Sounds like bullshit, I'd rather bet that Microsoft wanted to make some Cloud OS, web friendly thing and expected it to be as successful as Visual Studio Code

Also, I don't think that integrating react app into Windows is trivial

On the other hand streaming is way, way more common nowadays.

That sounds cool and fancy in theory, but how do you find that information among the noise?

like if 50 ppl vote A, 45 people vote B and 1 person who actually knows their shit votes B?

How do you find it? By amount?

Because the people who are consistently right will consistently win money and will make bigger bets which move the price more, in the limit case making the price converge on the true probability of the outcome.

This is the theoretical underpinning of prediction markets.

Equating being "consistently right" with having a sufficiently large stash of capital is ludicrous.

"right" people will wisely take most their winnings out of a high-variance market. "wrong" people with deep pockets (or lots of wrong people with shallow pockets) will continue to distort the market.

> will continue to distort the market.

they can only do so as long as they have enough capital to lose. Because every time they try to move the betting markets against the truth, they will simply lose that money when the event happens (and turns out they were wrong).

So any distortion will merely be temporary. Unless they have access to unlimited capital of course - which is not true yet for anyone (but the US gov't).

That only makes sense in a hermetically sealed system, which this is very much not.

Yes, but is this a problem? Haven't most betting markets turned out to offer accurate predictions?

Not particularly so. But even if it were, would that justify the social cost of this kind of gambling?

Well, the more often you're right, the more capital you will be able to accrue to bet with next time.

Apart from minor effects, the price is the probability. If you 'know your shit', you have more confidence and thus bid up or down until there are no more counterparties willing to accept your price, and thus the price settles at approximately the expert/insider probability.

what do you think you're asking?

like any signal, you reflect on it, integrate it into your belief, think through the consequences, etc.

we all want mr. delphi to tell us exactly what will happen. but without such a friend, we reason under uncertainty. markets are one tool we've found to coordinate such signals.

would you ask the same of hiring a private investigator, or paying for the new york times? there is no authority with your interests but yourself; you must choose who to trust.

It's not voting, it's a market

>Microsoft has also tried hard to push Edge, annoying nearly every Windows user on the planet, with no real success.

False, Edge is actually decent product and viable replacement for Chromium based browsers.

I use Firefox daily, but at work Edge is my way to go

Edge /is/ a chromium based browser, it makes sense people wouldn't feel the need to download Chrome unless they want to use their google account to sync devices.

for (other) chromium based browsers, I meant.

Agree. I gave it a shot recently after being a hater of MS browsers since the 90's and am actually very happy with it. I love the Workspaces and syncing features. Arc had something similar, but Arc started to stall out remain frustratingly buggy. Edge is now my go-to...

I really enjoyed Edge after it launched, but when they stuffed in all of the shopping plugins and integrations I bailed on it.

Have you forgotten about Edge 1 that was the evolution of IE’s Trident rendering engine? It failed that’s why they then started with the rebranded Chromium Edge 2.

Does Edge share your browsing history with Microsoft?

Yes, also it's not even encrypted. It's the worst case of all major browsers.

Firefox & Safari: E2E encrypted, you hold keys, not possible for Mozilla/Apple to access it.

Chrome: Encrypted, Google holds keys meaning it is useless, they can read and give away the data. One can enable sync passphrase which would enable E2E however.

Edge: Nothing is encrypted and no way to change this.

Did you miss the 2019 news that Edge switched to just being another Chromium reskin?

for (other) chromium based browsers, I meant.