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But what if we could predict which treatments would be most successful with ~70% accuracy? It would potentially speed up the feedback loops right?

There may also be downsides, like skipping testing things that would enhance our fundamental understanding of something because the AI was wrong. But that’s already a problem , and having a better gauge in the early stages could be really helpful

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What if I could flap my arms and fly to the moon? You haven't presented any scientific evidence that LLMs will enable such prediction accuracy. It's pure speculation and hope. Some smaller, incremental improvements to optimize research workflows are much more likely.

I’m not saying that they will, but that investing in advancements to AI overall could do that.

Not making predictions that they will, just trying to give an example of a benefit that we may get out of this


What is your opinion on AlphaFold? Doesn’t that provide a speedup for one part of medication development and understanding disease?

Not really, you still have to validate the structures it estimates, which minimises any speed gains.

It can help a little bit in the early stages of drug design, but even if it was perfect (which it's not), there's a massive gap between understanding a protein structure, and understanding how a drug will or system will interact with it.

In a broader sense, understanding the structure of a protein is only a small part of drug development. Unfortunately biology is complicated, and we're an extremely far way away from solving it.




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